KCRW's Left Right & Center 7/25/08: Obama Overseas, McCain Campaign, The Poll Truth, Mortgage Bill
Obama Overseas, McCain Campaign, The Poll Truth, Mortgage Bill
Photo on the left is from LA Times front page 7/25/08. Obama appears before a crowd of 250,000 fans in Berlin.
Photo on the right: Republican presidential candidate Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz. makes a campaign stop to talk with small business leaders, Thursday, July 24, 2008, at the Schmidt's Restaurant and Banquet Haus in Columbus, Ohio. At left is Dan Young, owner of Youngs Jersey Dairy. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)
Obama’s obvious overseas success may be a triumph of visuals over substance; will it come back to haunt him? The panelists agree that this campaign should be a walk for a Democratic candidate, so why are the polls on McCain and Obama so close? McCain’s week has been as bad Obama’s has been good – by anyone’s standards, he and his campaign have floundered. And the mortgage bill: is it socializing the downside, a banker bailout, a necessity that even free marketers must go along with for fear of a complete US economic meltdown? **This week, we invite our bloggers to weigh in on the promised discussion of media bias **– which we promised but didn't get to during the program.
Volunteer bloggers Andi and Marisa pulled these notable quotables from today's show -- feel free to use them in your blog but please remember to credit KCRW's Left, Right & Center:
Obama's Foreign Adventure
Tony Blankley concluded that Obama "looked like the President of the United States" and is "dubious of McCain's ability to do the same". He added that "McCain was lucky to get as little coverage as he did this week...[because he] looked smaller and less presidential."
Why is this Race so Close??—PLEASE ADD YOUR COMMENTS TO ANSWER THIS QUESTION!!!!!
Robert Scheer stated that “Republicans have brought us disaster, they betrayed conservatism, they’ve bankrupted our economy so there is a lot for a leftist, populist candidate to campaign on….we need to hear that voice from Obama.”
Our allies abroad have heard Obama’s voice and are once again excited about American politics, they know we “ have an incredibly attractive candidate, this guy’s being cheered on as a rock star in Berlin, now THAT is a projection of American values!”
Domestically speaking, Tony Blankley noted that “the more the public gets to know [Obama] the lower his numbers drop.” Blankley thinks “it’s a combination of skin color, his internationalism, his arrogance and the media coverage which says we’ve already selected a president for you” that is hindering Obama’s lead in the polls. Robert Scheer agreed with Tony Blankley’s statement that “there is a racial issue with Obama; the fact that he doesn’t have a white father.”
Mortgage Relief Bill
Robert asks “How is this going to help people with their mortgages?” This is just a “bailout for the bankers, there has been no accountability….we’re losing control of our economy.”
Comments
My understanding is that the last POLL was taken last Monday, 7/21.
First, the media would look too bloodthirsty if they picked on the underdog and they may avoid some criticism if they give him (in this case, McCain) a pass. It's not clear if this is premeditated, or if it's simply a subconscious expression of mercy by the media.
Second, if the media can manipulate the race to a dramatic finish in November, it can only help their ratings. But if the race is so lop-sided that everyone knows the Democrats will run away with it, then no one will be interested in watching the daily analysis, predictions, and polls.
If McCain were perceived to be ahead, or to have a more effective campaign, then he'd be the one with his feet held more firmly to the fire, and Obama would be treated with kid gloves as the Quixotic challenger.
Also, both candidates benefit from keeping the race tight, because they can make dramatic calls for fund-raising. If either candidate were 20+ points ahead, then neither candidate would be able to drum up enthusiasm. The front-runner's supporters would know that the race is in the bag, and the other's supporters would know that theirs is a lost cause. The result would be a drop-off of contributions on both sides.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/07/22/mccain-gets-history-of-th_n_114419.html
--Sarah, producer
I alway learn from Mr. Scheer and respect his opinions and writings at Truthdig.
That's the main reason I look forward to this show every Friday since I learned of it on my local NPR station.
However, I must take exception to his remark on today's show that the New Yorker cover of July 21 is a terrible affront to Obama. Mr. Scheer went on to suggest that had the cover depicted LIeberman the New Yorker would be drumed out of business.
May I suggest in turn that Liberman has not been subjected to the callous slurs, childish schoolyard manglings of his name and parentage, the continuous calumnies of right-wing hate radio and broadcast media.
By taking the bull by the horns with the satircal cover New Yorker has deflated the outsized egos of the hot-air sunshine mendicants of the corporate oligarchy.
People who can not follow irony or satire are, I think, are generally the black and white fundamentalist bible pounders such as we have here in Oklahoma, but I know Mr. Scheer does not fall in that category.
Can Matt Miller be given more vacation time in order that Lawrence O’Donnell is in the moderator's chair more frequently?
Miller's intrusions is the only thing that keeps this show from being perfect.
You have good sense coming from Mr. Scheer which goes to make Tony Blankly look even more foolish than he does in his Washington Time articles.
Adding Ariana Huffington is the icing on the cake.
Why is Obama doing poorly in the polls? Four words: Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act.
You shouldn't underestimate the number of people who were alienated by that vote.
Democracy Now held a debate between Glenn Greenwald and Obama's advisor Cass Sunstein and I have to say that Sunstein's representation of Obama's position on FISA was nearly incomprehensible.
And I'm excited to see a black man--a constitutional scholar and civil rights lawyer who spent a few crucial formative years outside of the country--have a real chance at the presidency. He'd have to do a great deal to lose my vote.
But his positions on the issues that really matter to me do bring me closer.
He'd trump McCain any news day--even without his oratory prowess, his good looks, and the trump card of a smart, articulate, almost equally interesting wife. Obama's story is simply more newsworthy.
But this level of scrutiny may cost him.
And I love all the non-screaming talking heads on LRC--Matt, Bob, Arianna; the sporadic Lawrence O'Donnell and yes, even Tony. (But I have a special fondness for Bob.)
Thank you all for providing such wonderful discussion.
Good question to close. The media bias discussion has been hashed out all week long from Sunday until today. Most of this discussion is coming from the McCain campaign with their assertion of the media being in LOVE with OBAMA per McCain's website. What I think is missed is the fact that John McCain was the media darling in 2000 and his position were more inline with the mainstream. Now in 2008 he has aligned himself with the right and by doing so put his Maverick mantle on to the side, now Obama is on the rise.
Lastly, if you think back a few months ago McCain was with Liebermann and Graham on his foreign trip and none of the media anchors were invited. He had plenty of time as reported in Tony's paper the Times to define OBAMA he wasted that time and now he wants to cry fowl when OBAMA is getting covered.
Fair is fair and Obama is entitled to the same access McCain received in 2000.
HRguy1
And while I'm at it, as often as I disagree with Mr. Blankley, I do feel he has a fair mind. I don't understand why he's writing for that miserable rag while real dopes like Kristol and Krauthammer are working for bigger papers.
What yesterday's discussion of Obama's trip -- and most discussions/opinions I've so far heard -- tend to shove aside is the fact that he's NOT YET PRESIDENT. Compare him to Kennedy and/or Reagan? Ridiculous! They were both in office, which gave them the ability to speak in concrete terms about concrete goals. Obama would be stepping into a very deep tarpit if he started laying out hard-core specifics at this point in a campaign, especially in a speech in Germany. Mr. Scheer wanted to hear him say he's going to tax the bejaysus out of corporations, regulate banks 'till they squeal, tighten the leash on corporate media, etc. Political suicide in July of an election, guys, especially overseas. He's got to speak to his friends, create new ones and above all not make a whole slew of rich, powerful enemies.
The media is still by far in McCain's pocket. They still religiously attend his barbecues, not to mention bring him donuts with sprinkles (AP). But more importantly, they still conspire to cover up his complete lack of real foreign policy experience (not to mention the fact that he has never held a real job in his entire life). For the media, McCain is entirely defined by the fact that he was shot down and captured during the Viet Nam war. Nothing he's done since matters (Keating, anyone?). Whereas the tiniest iota of Obama's carreer and personal life is ransacked for any juicy tidbit.
As for the Ayers thing, let me put it this way: Ayers' position is indefensible, and Obama has gone to great lengths to make clear that he does not attempt to defend it. But McCain has consistently defended people far more evil than Ayers, such as the White Supremacist regime in South Africa in the 80s, the Genocidal Maniac Suharto of Indonesia, as well as the mass murdering regimes of El Salvador, Guatemala, Peru and Chile. Who's worse?
To my point, Obama is certainly a more intriguing figure. I'm not necessarily a fan of his, but we on the right must at least concede that his story is more historical and he is more charismatic. Thus, people are more interested in watching coverage of him; we don't know much about him, his opinions (which are far from stagnant) and his family/story are just more intriguing to people. The media is simply giving the people what they want to see. Whether they vote for this guy or not is not the issue, but the general public is more likely to change the channel when they see McCain, Left Right or Center.
And I certainly take issue to the previous posts that argue they are covering Obama because he is in the 'lead,' many polls show a statistical tie. "The Media" is not huddling around waiting for the latest rasummussen poll, thats for sure. And we cannot hold the media to the unfair standard of being "fair" in their coverage - so lets just give up the idea that they are doing something 'right' or 'wrong' or 'unfair' because, at the end of the day, "The Media's" main objective is to MAKE MORE MONEY, not to give us some intellectual stimulation.
There's some truth to the notion that the media would appreciate a tight race, but there's a lot more to what's going on.
All of our major medias are owned by giant corporations, and the vast majority of their editors and managers are more comfortable with the idea of Republican leadership. And that doesn't even include the nefarious Murdoch-types who are continually pushing
I was delighted to read this comment. The moment the cover came out, the media mantra became "what a dreadful disgusting message to put on the front page of the New Yorker" when in fact what the magazine did was exactly right. For those with an understanding of satire it was clear. The cover simply depicted what was already out there. Those things being cartooned were representations of a subversive little message that had been promoted by various news outlets for months. The cover was there for all to see how truly odious the MSM had become. Why do you really think they were so outraged? They were caught.
The next cover could depict Obama descending on cloud from the heavens with the world prostrating before him – equally preposterous but this is the latest media message and they need to be called on it. The New Yorker is doing its job and doing it well.
I would just like to add some clarification to this post.
One half of 1 percent of 301 million people (number of mortgages going into foreclosure) is 1.5 million people or 1,505,000,000 people – More than the population of Maine.
5.5 % unemployed translates to 16.5 million people – close to the population of Florida.
How many of those already employed hold jobs that pay a living wage? Below is from Business Week, May 2004:
“Today more than 28 million people, about a quarter of the workforce between the ages of 18 and 64, earn less than $9.04 an hour, which translates into a full-time salary of $18,800 a year which is the income that marks the federal poverty line for a family of four”
Even if you assume that the 28 million figure is inflated, that’s a lot of U.S. Citizens struggling to make a living - many having to work more than 1 job to feed and house their families.
Second, James Nimmo needs to take a chill pill or come up with a substantive criticism of Matt Miller rather than Nimmo's repetitive flak. Both O'Donnell and Miller have been fine, IMHO.
Enough sucking up on my part. Tony's wrong to say voters turned against Obama in the primaries - instead the very slight shift in vote patterns after March reflected different demographics, mainly more older and uneducated white voters. Obama still won the vote count by the most reasonable standards (including caucuses, excluding MI and FL).
Re: Robert Scheer stated that “Republicans have brought us disaster, they betrayed conservatism, they’ve bankrupted our economy so there is a lot for a leftist, populist candidate to campaign on….we need to hear that voice from Obama.”
Mr. Scheer, I hope you get a chance to see Bill Moyers interview with Ernest Hollings.
http://www.pbs.org/moyers/journal/07252008/watch3.html
Mr. Hollings talks about the perpetual campaign and how the Senate and the Congress need to spend so much time financing their campaigns, that there is no time left to work for the country. He also talks about the media and how they are not speaking the truth to Americans.
I hope these important issues can be discussed on LR&C.
Thank you for the further clarification. I was just wanted to say that when you are talking about peoples lives and livelihood, it's good to associate the statistical detail to something that we all can relate to.. 1/2 of one percent sounds so small unless you are one of the 1/2 of one percent.
Why is the race close? 1. Presidential elections are about bonding and Obama is not a bonding kind of guy. 2. Obama's ethnic background does not speak to the life stories of many Americans. How many second and third generation Americans still have a middle name from the old country and know the exclusion that would come from having that featured prominently, particularly if it were someone who lead a country America had two wars against. Kenya is not a place that most Americans relate to other than for distance runners and wildlife. 3. Race. Obama has a unique history that is different from the descendants of slaves, but he is part African. When African Americans embraced him and gave him huge majorities, conservatives took off of after black surrogates, such as Rev. Wright, his wife Michelle, and Jesse Jackson, who many whites would mistrust. And modern negative campaigning is about generating mistrust, particularly with the dominance of negative talking heads on cable tv and conservative talk radio. With that much negativity out there, how can anyone get ahead. And never underestimate the power that race has on politics in America. 4. Obama has hit with an additional constituency, young people and future oriented people who identify with the global economy. But people who feel they have no future, working class and whites threatened with unemployment, have not heard anything from Obama. 5. Obama is a new face. People are not into trusting politicians. He has no defining history as a legislator and no one is sure what his positions will be. Mostly he is a centrist, although conservatives have had some success telling people he is an extreme liberal. In addition people who expect Obama to agree with them have gotten disappointed, as Scheer has. Furthermore he has not really been a leader, or even much of a presence, opposing Bush's policies in the Congress. Howver, the Democrats who have do not have good poll numbers either. That bodes ill for Obama 6. The media, being a profit making arm of corporations, will only bless a pro-business candidate. It will certainly not want a Democrat to run off and get a mandate to redistribute income or power away from business. However, as with Clinton's election, corporate America is somewhat split on its direction as is evidenced both by their campaign contributions and media coverage. Plus the media wants a horse race or soap opera to keep us watching. Obama is entertaining and did a great job overseas. But bashing him is entertaining too.7. Obama must walk an incredible tightrope. He must raise big money to be credible, but he can't be seen as playing for pay. He must keep the high enthusiasm of blacks but not alienate whites who may in their hearts fear a black planet. He must be acceptable to the Jewish pro-Israel lobby but also offer hope of peace in the middle east, which requires new intiatives of fairness to both sides. He must offer an alternative to the abuses by the business sector that lead to Enron and the mortgage mess without sounding like Robert Scheer. He must appear capable of being tough and going to war if needed, not be a pacifist or wimp, but offer a clear alternative to Bush's war policy. He has been able to do it so far, but he will never be able to open a huge lead. If he succeeds, it will be close. 8. People compare Obama to Kennedy with his inspirational qualities. Kennedy barely won election at a time when Democrats had been the dominant party and today's various factions of conservatism were unheard of. Inspiration and change do not win huge majorities. If they did we would have been inspired and changed before.
Matt Miller pointed out how lucky Obama has been. The timing of the primaries were such that caucus states gave him early credibility, his home state's primary occured to push him ahead in public perception, the demographics of the Democrats in the South gave his African American supporters much more clout in states which he will probably lose in a general election, and the states that he did really badly in came so late that Hillary could not turn the superdelegates without destroying the party. On Obama's recent trip, not only did nothing bad happen, but Maliki's announcement that the US needs to leave Iraq undermined McCain's hundred years of occupation and Bush's hope for a long term Iraqi request for a US presence. Luck certainly matters (Reagan had it and Carter did not, for instance) but it can't be counted on and can change quickly (LBJ and Bush). The thing that would matter most in an Obama presidency are his appointments to create a wise, able and responsible administration, and how he would use this to make key policy decisions. These issues are either ignored or impossible to deal with in a media campaign which focuses on gaffes and bonding, but they are what did in Bush, who looked like he should have been better than he turned out to be. Perhaps LRC can try to deal with that in the upcoming months.
Perhaps Mr. Blankley could respond to JimBob’s comment.
How deep does the media control really go? Can you only speak as conservative if you share the same, narrow perspective of the Neo-cons? When you do have an opportunity to speak, do you need to tailor you responses to match the accepted ideology?
I
---Sarah, producer
McCain's mixup on the surge / Anbar awakening timeline was certainly news since his candidacy is based in large part on his suitability to be Commander-in-Chief. The fact that CBS removed his answer -- removed the only newsworthy part of the entire interview -- and replaced it with the answer to a different question is news because it is an instance of a major network news organization fiddling with reality. For my money that was the biggest story of the week.
Instead of taking about it you...gushed over Obama's free throw.
I love you guys, but come on: what the F is going on over there?
[By the way that sound you hear is Edward R. Murrow spinning in his grave like break dancers at a Herbie Hancock concert.]
What about when he said, "just this past week, we passed out of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, which is my committee, a bill to call for divestment from Iran." Too bad he isn't affiliated with that committee at all.
What about when he said "You know, it's always a bad practice to say 'always' or 'never' " You would have heard about that if Bush said it.
What about when he mentioned that the leaders in the middle east and Europe were the ones he would be dealing with for the next 10 years as President?
One day Iran doesn't pose a serious threat to the US then the next day he has "made it clear for years that the threat from Iran is grave."
You have to search out Obama's gaffes on right wing websites.
What happens when McCain makes a mistake? He is too old and loosing it as Howard Kurtz reminds us in the Washington Post:
Not sure why the above post cut everything off.
Hello Sarah. My apologies – I wasn’t being clear. I was not saying that Tony was a neocon.
Hello Sarah. I wasn't clear; my apologies. I did not intend to infer that Tony was a neo-con. I was agreeing with the comment that he is fair mined and as such I thought it would be interesting hear his thoughts regarding how the conservative view is presented by the MSM. My personal perception is that the many shades of gray are not evident.
The prevailing conservative ideology in my view is pro-war, pro-gun, pro-capital punishment, anti-abortion and anti-gay. There is also the mandatory Pro-family mention, meaning you take care of your family and I will take care of mine.
--Sarah
You are right. Money currently dominates everything that is political. That is why we need to change the system.
We need huge change.
This macho “I will keep you safe stuff” has got to finish. For one thing, feeling safe, in my humble opinion, is an infantile primary adult goal. No one person can keep us from harm. It is an absurd idea. We should be past this concept and aspiring to higher goals. You have already mentioned several that are completely admirable.
Robert Scheer is the only panel member that I recall who has advocated for better representation by women in politics. In order for those women to feel that they can make a difference, we need to create a system that is inclusive for all – not just for white men of power.
Also, we need men that see women as equal partners. I don’t know how to state this in stronger terms. It’s just so important.
Finally, we all need to keep dreaming. That status quo is not acceptable
There is no barrier to women in politics. The speaker of the house is a female and there are 70 women in the US House along with 16 female Senators. A woman was defiantly in the running for the nomination from the Democratic Party and might have won if she had run a better campaign earlier when she was leading all the polls. There are 8 female governors now and some assorted Lt. governors. I don't think that political power is reserved for "white men of power" any more and if more women run for office the number of them in office will go up.