KCRW's Left Right & Center Show 7.18.08

Comments

arianna is right in saying that this "time horizon" or, in reality, timeline for withdrawal, is neither a left nor a right issue.
I don't think 10 years is unrealistic.
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On IRAQ - The Documentary "No End In Sight" tells the story pretty accurately as to 'where we are at' and the challenges to planned chaos theory in Iraq, but Anthony Lake's - "6 Nightmares" lays the foundation for the current response that starts with George W. Bush's assassination attempt by Iraqis coming into Kuwait (p.16) and the essential response that lessened terrorist attacks from 666 in 1987 to 273 in 1988.

On Afghanistan - Why doesn't ANYONE on this show link the production of 90% of the WORLD's Heroin (poppy) and 30% of the WORLD'S Marijuana and the security risk that causes the region and the U.S. by funding the 7,000 guns produced per day [for the last 7 years] on the Pakistan border towns that produce hand made guns to fuel the armory in the region. The $4 BILLION worth of drug money creates a hostile environment for U.S. and regional interests. Didn't ANYONE ever consider what the HELL Russia or anyone else would want with such a depleted, impoverished and ancient civilization that has virtually no infrastructure or economy outside of the drug trade? If Saudi Arabia had not found oil in the 1900's they would still be in tents in the middle of a sand dune, contrast the history lesson and huge development and infrastructure shown in the first 5 minutes of the movie "The Kingdom" and the $3.5 TRILLION the U.S. owes the OPEC Nations - hence the dollar devaluation pushing up oil prices at home (needing twice as many dollars to buy the same amount of oil (Next is $1 Trillion to China, $1 trillion to Japan and on the list goes to virtually every major country in the world adding up to $9 trillion in U.S. Debt (Mobs, Messiah's & Markets - Bonner-Rajiva)

Al Gore - Energy & Markets - Chevron's willyoujoinus.com/energyville gives users a 'SIMS' like environment to try your hand at managing a cities power resources with all the available energy resources available today and some that will be developed in the near future and project out to 2030-2050 the impact of those choices from economic, environment, security standpoint. Try playing and competing with others who try to solve the city's (World's) energy challenges. It only takes 30 minutes from start to finish to understand the rules and play with a drag-and-drop interface to understand the energy issue better. Designed by the Economist Group.

Nuclear Power plants are still challenged to determine what to do with the nuclear waste. No country as well as France and their recent breach has figured out what do with the masses of nuclear waste that was being dumped in the Arctic by Japan& Russia until the 1970's (Search www.ft.com - "nuclear waste") not to mention the long term effects of problems associated with security issues related to having enriched uranium and plutonium going to these sites and being manufactured as well as potential melt downs and lasting exposure if they fail.

Until we decide what the objectives are in Iran, Iraq or Afghanistan, the troop surges are a 'police action' and not a war (youtube.com "The Pentagon’s New Map) and that security detail needs to be paid for by the states we are aiding or a NATO led coalition needs to share the cost burden to ensure all of the Western civilizations Energy Security.





I'm impressed by O'Donnell's humor and gentle moderation. Not to take anything away from Mr. Miller but I feel like O'Donnell is less confrontation and better at relaxing everyone and drawing them out. Less saber-rattling, as it were.

Regarding the 10-year energy challenge... I'm not qualified to say whether it's possible. It could be, but not everything is possible. Contrasting it with Apollo, it seems that Apollo was more of an engineering problem and Al Gore's challenge is more of a basic science research problem. At least in regards to solar energy.
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I'd like to comment on Tony Blankley's responses to Al Gore's energy proposals in his speech this week. While it is not a certainty that it is feasible to perform such rapid change in the energy infrastructure, political cowardice is no reason to scrap an idea with such far reaching implications. His argument basically boils down to "It's too big" which may or may not be true, but is no reason not to attempt it. It is precisely this sort of imagination and 'too big' thinking that got our country into a position of leadership and prosperity in the first place from our revolution right up to, thats correct, the Apollo program. Do you think that JFK had the technical knowledge to predict success when he issued his challenge? And if we set a bar of 10 years and don't achieve it so what? We'll be 10 years closer to where we need to be and moving towards the energy independence that people are SO willing to drill for the next 10 years to achieve. For a start, listen to the archived version of Talk of The Nation Science Friday from March 14 2008. And as for the Congress who couldn't pass a 15% reduction over a longer time period? We shame them. Generally an unsavory tactic, but when those elected to SERVE American interests, act in a manner contrary to that purpose they no longer deserve our respect or support.
Please inform Tony Blankely that while 'Iraqi' is an adjective which can modify nouns, e.g. 'war', 'insurgency', etc., 'Afghani' is a noun signifying a unit of currency. The proper adjective is just 'Afghan'.
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Ten years to non-carbon-based US electricity?
(my entire post):
Ten years to non-carbon-based US electricity? This seemed to have been rejected out-of-hand as impossible, with very little consideration beyond "it would take longer than that to build the nuclear power plants." People tend to think of increments in progress as arithmetic - 10% progress per year over 10 years, for example - when in actuality technological progress proceeds exponentially. Moore's law has been borne out by things like the existence of the word processor and internet I'm using right now. It is a remarkably consistent predictor of technological progress. Geometric, or exponential, growth explains why we were able to go from our technology at the time of the Kennedy moon initiative, where the most powerful computer in the world had less computing power than you might find in a modern toaster, to success in a period roughly equal to this non-carbon-dependent electricity challenge.
If we have a Moore's law timetable, with progress toward the goal doubling every 18 months, would we would need to achieve just 1.4% of the goal in the first year. At three years, we would then be at 3.1%; 12.5% at six years (and the arithmetic thinkers would still insist the project was doomed to failure); 50% by nine years; and 100% at 10.5 years. I could have made this come out at exactly 10 years, but couldn't have as easily rounded to tenths of one percent - I wanted this post to have more letters than numbers...
If we can acheive just under 1.4% of the goal in one year, then the whole is achievable in ten. We certainly have the technological ability, and such a quest would be a boon to the US and world economy, if similar techonological drives - weapons development in WWII, the moon landing, the tech boom, are at all predictive. The question is not technological feasibility, it's political will and the ability to communicate the need, benefits, and practicality to the public. There would be strong resistance from people who want immediate large profits and are not concerned with the consequences of global warming, which if unchecked would lead to millions, maybe billions, of casualties. Please put aside the technological question - this is something that can be done. What are the political, human, and moral consequences of failure to deal with global warming with due haste?

Robert Scheer argues that war in Afghanistan will prove as or more unmanageable as war in Iraq. Most Americans believe that the invasion of Afghanistan was justified after 9/11 because the Taliban were sheltering al Qaeda and this had to stop. In hindsight many Americans understand that starting a second simultaneous war in Iraq was a mistake. Whether this invasion was motivated to impose post 9/11 discipline on the uppity Saddam, or for oil, Bush family issues, a neoconservative vision that the American military could impose order on the Middle East, or whether this was just the action of violent men to show that the US, although wounded by 9/11, was still the most violent power in the world, we are now seeing that Iraqis do not want the US occupying their country. This war as he have known us must therefor soon end. In the meantime the war in Afghanistan has been underfunded and ignored.

However Afghanistan raises many of the same issues in a place that has been much less friendly to the West. We know that it is a tribal and warlord ridden state that survives by selling narcotics to the West, and whose fierce people resisted the British and Soviet Empires before us. Its culture, battered by decades of war, is alien to us. The Taliban's resurgance in popularity confounds us. Its ethnic links with Pakistan, another unfamiliar country that really does have nuclear weapons, also confound us. We can't invade and occupy Iraq, and Afghanistan, and Iran, and Pakistan. We are bankrupting the country with the wars we have.

So suppose we had ignored Saddam and concentrated on Afghanistan, and even invested all the resources in rebuilding Afghanistan that we said we would. What would we have done better? As in Iraq, wouldn’t the local warlords have manipulated us more than we could manipulate or intimidate them? If we just chased away the Taliban and then left, what would have happened then? A recent Nicholas Kristoff article suggests that building schools works better there than war. But how would we build there, as occupiers? And who would manage the rebuilding, which has failed so dismally in Iraq?

American voters may believe there are good wars, even if Iraq does not appear to be one of them. And world diplomacy can’t even do anything about Darfur or Mugabe. So if neither unilateral military invasion and occupation, nor diplomacy can make the world unsafe for al Qaeda, what will? Some world wide effort at reconstruction without the onus of foreign military occupation may offer the most promise, and may have been possible post 9/11 before the Iraq war alienated so much of the world. A new administration may be able to win this opportunity again, or it may just make the same mistakes.

The focus of the media (our only surrogate for questioning the Presidential candidates) has been how would the candidates fix the economy, health care, or the conflict in Iraq/"The War on Terror".
The focus of the media (our only surrogate for questioning the Presidential candidates) has been how would the candidates fix the economy, health care, or the conflict in Iraq/"The War on Terror". The problem is that we are not electing a King or Queen that will have the power to dictate governmental policy (8 years of Bush didn't lead to the overturning of Roe v. Wade, privatizing social security or bringing about school of choice despite the accusations and promises during the 2000 election). What I wish we could learn about (and hope you will discuss on your show) is how the candidates view executive power and privileges, envision the role of the bully pulpit, and plan to talk to the world (our enemies and friends) in a post-Bush presidency.
Interesting to see the split between Bob and Arianna on Afghanistan. While the historical quagmire-factor is high, the key difference re Iraq is NATO presence vs. our imperial unilateralism. I think the answer is to define the mission clearly. Is it to disable al-Qaeda, tamp down the Taliban or build an Afghan state?

On the Gore Challenge, Tony's cynicism amounts to a failure of imagination. We're hungry for leadership that inspires us to achieve something as a nation. Kennedy dared us, but so did FDR and Honest Abe. The uniquely American ability to aspire seems to be fading.

Since Arianna feels the name Left, Right and Center is rooted in an outmoded view, I wonder what it might otherwise be named. My suggestions:

Loud, Soft and Cranky

That Was the Week That Was (anybody remember?)

You Can't Be Serious

The Half-Hour News Hour

Love That Bob (now I'm really dating myself)

Radio Free America

Well, I'm sure some of you have better ideas. Let's hear them.


Finally, thank you to the panel for taking my question on-air this week. It made my day. I feel so . . . validated.
Really good point, Stephen! Everybody has been so reflexively negative about the Gore Challenge—I like the logic of your retort. I'm beginning to think we're turning in to a nation of whiners. (Now where have I heard that?)
My Favorite Character: Cleo the beagle on Love That Bob! And you betcha, the original That Was the Week That Was was its day's Daily Show. You posed a good question and my only regret is that we didn't get enough time to treat it fully.
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@AmateurAstronaut -- agree completely.

Further to the discussion regarding the suggestion that the terms left, right and centre, may be outmoded, I would like to suggest that perhaps the definitions of Republican and Democrat, as they currently stand, may require some re defining.

The assumption is that Republicans are conservative in their views and that Democrats are liberal in theirs. However, there seems to be less and less of a difference between the two parties as time goes on. Those running take whatever is the expedient view to become elected.

In school I was taught that Liberals (Whigs in the British system) were the centrists. And the centrists position was the most difficult to maintain, as it required a careful balancing act between the more radical perspectives of the left and the right. Liberals were also for social reform i.e. systems for taking care of the poor etc.

The words that we hear over and over again in the MSM are the "far left”. This far left designation seems to be applied consistently to any view that is not conservative. And to add to the confusion conservative has come to stand for someone who is anti abortion, anti gay, anti women, pro war, pro gun, and pro a certain religiosity. Whatever happened to the prudent, fiscally responsible conservative without all the social labels?

One additional and unrelated point; the commentators of Left, Right and Centre consistently model careful listening skills and civility towards each other’s differing perspectives. This civility has translated to thoughtful, intelligent posts to this blog. Keep it up. Your comments are providing valuable context to the discussion.

I think that, of all the blogs on the Internet, this is the one that demonstrates the most intelligence and thoughful remarks. I am awed, as well as grateful, to all of you.

Thank you.
Sarah, producer
Of all the issues LRC treats, the economy is now the most important. Please LRC, I beg you, please discuss how serious this is.

The US has weathered economic downturns before. But it really is different this time. We are about to see economic matter and economic antimatter combine.

Economic "matter" is our debt. Historically the US was a creditor nation, but since the Eighties the US has morphed into the biggest debtor nation our world has ever seen. The government must now borrow $2 billion every day to keep functioning.

Economic "antimatter" is creditor confidence in the US. Historically this has been profoundly positive. But our increasingly lackadaisical attitude towards fiscal regulation and responsibility has eroded creditor confidence. The Fannie/Freddie bailout, if it occurs, could turn that erosion of confidence into a landslide of distrust, leading to downgrades of US obligations -- even of "safe" US Treasuries.

When the "matter" of increasing indebtedness combines with the "antimatter" of decreasing confidence, the result is not a gradual shift. It is a runaway explosion in interest rates and the subsequent collapse of a credit-based economy.

This is the most serious turning point of our generation.

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Just listened to the show this a.m. It is my Monday morning listen. I was really disappointed that the panel missed the point of Al Gore's speech! A large part of the discussion focused on fuel and foreign oil which has nothing to do with a goal of eliminating the use of carbon based fuels for electricity within 10 years. Gore is also operating outside of the purely political framework, sing the web, and the general population at large- as a means to push government to do what it doesn't have the will, guts, or ability to do by itself. Is it a huge and potentially difficult task to accomplish in just 10 years? Maybe. Is it needed? Yes! Is it worth turning our collective creative minds to? Yes! Gore focused on two sources of energy wind power and solar power. Why Tony brought up nuclear power is beyond me. I got the feeling that Ariana is the only one who really listened to Gore's speech.
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